PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–1 FC Rostov · Premier League

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 5–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
3.041.66
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat FC Rostov 5–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – FC Rostov): shots 11–15, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 3.04–1.66, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Rostov's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylya Sovetov Samara · FC Rostov14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC RostovBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Rostov have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.3%PossessionKrylya Sovetov Samara · FC Rostov● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC RostovBaseline
Possession42.3%60.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 11 shots, FC Rostov 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 7 shots, FC Rostov 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.04 xG1.66 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 3.04 xG, FC Rostov 1.66 xG
  • Possession35%65%Krylya Sovetov Samara 35%, FC Rostov 65%
  • Corners1 corner13 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 corner, FC Rostov 13 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls11 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 4 fouls, FC Rostov 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
2FC Rostov
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Rostov · Premier League1–3
FC Rostov — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara3 matchesFC Rostov3 matches
3.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
2.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.52 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 14.7 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
42.3%Possession3/3● 60.3%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.67 corners/match
6.33 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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