PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1.

Shots
220
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.193.83
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 2–20, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.19–3.83, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Krylya Sovetov Samara14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match ●CornersLokomotiv Moscow · Krylya Sovetov Samara5.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Corners6 corners/match5.75 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Lokomotiv Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.5% ●PossessionLokomotiv Moscow · Krylya Sovetov Samara44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Possession54.5%44%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots2 shots20 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 2 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 20 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 1 shot, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.19 xG3.83 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.19 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 3.83 xG
  • Possession51%49%Lokomotiv Moscow 51%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 49%
  • Corners2 corners11 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 2 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 18 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lokomotiv Moscow
2Draws
0Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow4 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.75 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6.75 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession4/444%
6 corners/match ●Corners4/45.75 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/47.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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