PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 4–1 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 4–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.541.75
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Lokomotiv Moscow 4–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 15–13, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.54–1.75, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Lokomotiv Moscow13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowLokomotiv MoscowBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsCSKA Moscow 15 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCSKA Moscow 6 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG1.75 xGCSKA Moscow 2.54 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.75 xG
  • Possession42%58%CSKA Moscow 42%, Lokomotiv Moscow 58%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersCSKA Moscow 3 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsCSKA Moscow 8 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow3 matchesLokomotiv Moscow3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
2.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.67 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 13.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
56% ●Possession3/355.7%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.33 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Aug 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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