PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Dynamo Moscow 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow and Nizhny Novgorod drew 1–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
2.092.05
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow and Pari Nizhny Novgorod drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 14–14, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 2.09–2.05, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Dynamo Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8% ●PossessionDynamo Moscow · Pari Nizhny Novgorod38.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDynamo MoscowPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession48.8%38.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsDynamo Moscow 14 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsDynamo Moscow 3 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG2.05 xGDynamo Moscow 2.09 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 2.05 xG
  • Possession64%36%Dynamo Moscow 64%, Nizhny Novgorod 36%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersDynamo Moscow 4 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsDynamo Moscow 8 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow8 matchesNizhny Novgorod8 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.3 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.63 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.75 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession8/838.8%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/82.5 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 15 Sept 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headDynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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