PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Dynamo Moscow 1–4 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 1–4.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
1.672.18
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Dynamo Moscow 4–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – FC Rostov): shots 15–16, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 1.67–2.18, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsDynamo Moscow · FC Rostov14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDynamo MoscowFC RostovBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsDynamo Moscow 15 shots, FC Rostov 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsDynamo Moscow 8 shots, FC Rostov 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG2.18 xGDynamo Moscow 1.67 xG, FC Rostov 2.18 xG
  • Possession55%45%Dynamo Moscow 55%, FC Rostov 45%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersDynamo Moscow 9 corners, FC Rostov 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsDynamo Moscow 14 fouls, FC Rostov 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
1FC Rostov
FC Rostov — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–2
FC Rostov — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–1
Dynamo Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow21 matchesFC Rostov21 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.52 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.48 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/201.66 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots21/2114.3 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.76 shots/match
50.1%Possession21/21● 54%
5.76 corners/match ●Corners21/215.29 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Mar 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headDynamo Moscow — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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