Premier League · 2023

Nizhny Novgorod 3–4 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–4.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
85
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4–3. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – FK Krasnodar): shots 21–10, shots on target 8–5, possession 42%–58%, corners 8–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

weak

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionPari Nizhny Novgorod · FK Krasnodar● 54.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPari Nizhny NovgorodFK KrasnodarBaseline
Possession40.3%54.9%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsNizhny Novgorod 21 shots, FK Krasnodar 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsNizhny Novgorod 8 shots, FK Krasnodar 5 shots
  • Possession42%58%Nizhny Novgorod 42%, FK Krasnodar 58%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersNizhny Novgorod 8 corners, FK Krasnodar 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsNizhny Novgorod 15 fouls, FK Krasnodar 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
3FK Krasnodar
FK Krasnodar — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–0
FK Krasnodar — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod22 matchesFK Krasnodar22 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.95 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals20/19▲ 1.8 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.05 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.5 shots/match
40.3%Possession22/22● 54.9%
3.09 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.23 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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