PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 0–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.671.13
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Akhmat Grozny): shots 14–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.67–1.13, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 14 shots, Akhmat Grozny 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 2 shots, Akhmat Grozny 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG1.13 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 0.67 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.13 xG
  • Possession72%28%Krylya Sovetov Samara 72%, Akhmat Grozny 28%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 8 corners, Akhmat Grozny 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 12 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
1Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–2
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League0–1
Akhmat Grozny — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara28 matchesAkhmat Grozny28 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.14 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.36 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/271.44 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession28/2843.9%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners28/284.18 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 May 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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