PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Dynamo Moscow 4–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 4–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
102
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 4–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 15–9, shots on target 10–2, possession 42%–58%, corners 6–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsDynamo Moscow 15 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsDynamo Moscow 10 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 shots
  • Possession42%58%Dynamo Moscow 42%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 58%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersDynamo Moscow 6 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsDynamo Moscow 11 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
0Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–3
Dynamo Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow29 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara29 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.55 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.48 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/241.65 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots29/2911.1 shots/match
5.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.69 shots/match
49.3%Possession29/29● 49.7%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners29/295.03 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls29/299.52 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 May 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headDynamo Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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