PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FK Krasnodar 1–0 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 1–0.

Shots
812
Shots on target
43
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Dynamo Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Dynamo Moscow): shots 8–12, shots on target 4–3, possession 62%–38%, corners 8–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsFK Krasnodar 8 shots, Dynamo Moscow 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFK Krasnodar 4 shots, Dynamo Moscow 3 shots
  • Possession62%38%FK Krasnodar 62%, Dynamo Moscow 38%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersFK Krasnodar 8 corners, Dynamo Moscow 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsFK Krasnodar 14 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FK Krasnodar
1Draws
0Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–3
FK Krasnodar — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–1
Dynamo Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar30 matchesDynamo Moscow30 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.77 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.3 goals/match
1.82 xG/matchExpected goals24/27▲ 1.92 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 15.5 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 5.5 shots/match
56% ●Possession30/3048.9%
5.13 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.53 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 May 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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