PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FC Rostov 2–3 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 2–3.

Shots
913
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.970.87
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat FC Rostov 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Akhmat Grozny): shots 9–13, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.97–0.87, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsFC Rostov 9 shots, Akhmat Grozny 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Akhmat Grozny 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.87 xGFC Rostov 0.97 xG, Akhmat Grozny 0.87 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC Rostov 54%, Akhmat Grozny 46%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersFC Rostov 1 corner, Akhmat Grozny 2 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls12 foulsFC Rostov 20 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Rostov
1Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — FC Rostov · Premier League0–0
FC Rostov — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League3–0
FC Rostov — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League3–2
Akhmat Grozny — FC Rostov · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov13 matchesAkhmat Grozny13 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.92 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.92 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/90.9 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/912.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/93.11 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession8/944.1%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/9● 5 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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