Premier League · 2024

Dynamo Moscow 3–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 3–1.

Shots
239
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.470.93
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 23–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.47–0.93, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsDynamo Moscow · Pari Nizhny Novgorod7.45 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDynamo MoscowPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match7.45 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match17.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.07 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Dynamo Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8% ●PossessionDynamo Moscow · Pari Nizhny Novgorod40.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDynamo MoscowPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession51.8%40.2%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots9 shotsDynamo Moscow 23 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsDynamo Moscow 5 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.47 xG0.93 xGDynamo Moscow 2.47 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.93 xG
  • Possession61%39%Dynamo Moscow 61%, Nizhny Novgorod 39%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersDynamo Moscow 7 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 0 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsDynamo Moscow 7 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Dynamo Moscow
2Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–4
Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–1
Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow15 matchesNizhny Novgorod15 matches
2.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.8 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/110.77 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots10/117.45 shots/match
7.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/112.36 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession10/1140.2%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners10/112.36 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1113.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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