PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Akron Togliatti · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 2–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.421.51
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Akron Togliatti 2–1. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Akron Togliatti): shots 14–14, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.42–1.51, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akron Togliatti's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akron Togliatti's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsNizhny Novgorod 14 shots, Akron Togliatti 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsNizhny Novgorod 6 shots, Akron Togliatti 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.42 xG1.51 xGNizhny Novgorod 2.42 xG, Akron Togliatti 1.51 xG
  • Possession49%51%Nizhny Novgorod 49%, Akron Togliatti 51%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersNizhny Novgorod 4 corners, Akron Togliatti 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls13 foulsNizhny Novgorod 19 fouls, Akron Togliatti 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
1Draws
0Akron Togliatti
Akron Togliatti — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Akron Togliatti in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod19 matchesAkron Togliatti19 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.89 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲ 1.26 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 11.5 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 3.45 shots/match
40.9%Possession12/11● 48.8%
2.5 corners/matchCorners12/11● 4.18 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodAkron Togliatti
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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