PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FC Rostov 1–1 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov and Dynamo Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
178
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
3.61.57
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov and Dynamo Moscow drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Dynamo Moscow): shots 17–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 3.6–1.57, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsFC Rostov 17 shots, Dynamo Moscow 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Dynamo Moscow 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.6 xG1.57 xGFC Rostov 3.6 xG, Dynamo Moscow 1.57 xG
  • Possession53%47%FC Rostov 53%, Dynamo Moscow 47%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerFC Rostov 3 corners, Dynamo Moscow 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsFC Rostov 12 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Rostov
2Draws
1Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1
Dynamo Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–4
FC Rostov — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–2
FC Rostov — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–1
Dynamo Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov19 matchesDynamo Moscow19 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.96 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots11/1116.5 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 6.73 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession11/1151.4%
4.45 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.36 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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