PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Orenburg 0–2 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 0–2.

Shots
187
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.080.7
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Orenburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Orenburg – CSKA Moscow): shots 18–7, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.08–0.7, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow have a visible away split

moderate

CSKA Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsOrenburg 18 shots, CSKA Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsOrenburg 4 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG0.7 xGOrenburg 1.08 xG, CSKA Moscow 0.7 xG
  • Possession60%40%Orenburg 60%, CSKA Moscow 40%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerOrenburg 7 corners, CSKA Moscow 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsOrenburg 17 fouls, CSKA Moscow 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Orenburg
3Draws
2CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League5–1
CSKA Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League2–1
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg24 matchesCSKA Moscow24 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/151.41 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1613.1 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 5.81 shots/match
50.6%Possession17/16● 53.1%
6.59 corners/match ●Corners17/164.31 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headOrenburg — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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