PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FC Rostov · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 2–1.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.220.27
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat FC Rostov 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – FC Rostov): shots 10–10, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.22–0.27, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsAkhmat Grozny 10 shots, FC Rostov 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, FC Rostov 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.22 xG0.27 xGAkhmat Grozny 1.22 xG, FC Rostov 0.27 xG
  • Possession51%49%Akhmat Grozny 51%, FC Rostov 49%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAkhmat Grozny 4 corners, FC Rostov 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls24 foulsAkhmat Grozny 14 fouls, FC Rostov 24 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
1Draws
3FC Rostov
FC Rostov — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–3
Akhmat Grozny — FC Rostov · Premier League0–0
FC Rostov — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League3–0
FC Rostov — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League3–2
Akhmat Grozny — FC Rostov · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny24 matchesFC Rostov24 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.58 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals16/15▲ 1.74 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots18/16▲ 15.5 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target18/16▲ 4.31 shots/match
47.2%Possession18/16● 53%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners18/164.44 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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