Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 3–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akron Togliatti won 3–2.

Shots
1429
Shots on target
710
Expected goals
1.794.37
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akron Togliatti beat Akhmat Grozny 3–2. Recorded in this match (Akron Togliatti – Akhmat Grozny): shots 14–29, shots on target 7–10, expected goals 1.79–4.37, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akron Togliatti's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akron Togliatti's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Akhmat Grozny show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAkron Togliatti · Akhmat Grozny15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAkron TogliattiAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match15 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match13 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots29 shotsAkron Togliatti 14 shots, Akhmat Grozny 29 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots10 shotsAkron Togliatti 7 shots, Akhmat Grozny 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG4.37 xGAkron Togliatti 1.79 xG, Akhmat Grozny 4.37 xG
  • Possession54%46%Akron Togliatti 54%, Akhmat Grozny 46%
  • Corners7 corners11 cornersAkron Togliatti 7 corners, Akhmat Grozny 11 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls7 foulsAkron Togliatti 23 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akron Togliatti
1Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Akron Togliatti · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti28 matchesAkhmat Grozny28 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.93 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals18/201.51 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots19/22▲ 15 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target19/22▲ 4.05 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession19/2247.2%
4.63 corners/matchCorners19/22● 5.41 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls19/2212.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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