PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Rubin Kazan 1–0 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 1–0.

Shots
138
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.980.77
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat FC Rostov 1–0. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – FC Rostov): shots 13–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.98–0.77, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rubin Kazan have a visible home split

moderate

Rubin Kazan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsRubin Kazan 13 shots, FC Rostov 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsRubin Kazan 2 shots, FC Rostov 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG0.77 xGRubin Kazan 0.98 xG, FC Rostov 0.77 xG
  • Possession48%52%Rubin Kazan 48%, FC Rostov 52%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRubin Kazan 4 corners, FC Rostov 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsRubin Kazan 20 fouls, FC Rostov 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rubin Kazan
1Draws
1FC Rostov
FC Rostov — Rubin Kazan · Premier League1–1
Rubin Kazan — FC Rostov · Premier League3–1
FC Rostov — Rubin Kazan · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan28 matchesFC Rostov28 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.46 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals16/19▲ 1.63 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots18/20▲ 15 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target18/20▲ 4.2 shots/match
43.7%Possession18/20● 52.5%
3.89 corners/matchCorners18/20● 4.5 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls18/2012.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headRubin Kazan — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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