Krylya Sovetov Samara
Premier League · 2026Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Baltika Kaliningrad won 0–2.
- Shots
- 6–13
- Shots on target
- 2–5
- Possession
- 67%–33%
Full time
What the match recorded
Baltika Kaliningrad beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Baltika Kaliningrad): shots 6–13, shots on target 2–5, possession 67%–33%, corners 2–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakKrylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | Baltika Kaliningrad | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.67 shots/match | 11.7 shots/match | 11.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | 17.3 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match | 16.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakKrylya Sovetov Samara have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.3 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | Baltika Kaliningrad | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 48.3% | 32% | 50.3% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 0 · 9 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Krylya Sovetov Samara / Baltika Kaliningrad
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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