PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Rodina Moscow 0–3 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 0–3.

Shots
816
Shots on target
29
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika Kaliningrad beat Rodina Moscow 3–0. Recorded in this match (Rodina Moscow – Baltika Kaliningrad): shots 8–16, shots on target 2–9, possession 69%–31%, corners 2–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika Kaliningrad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Baltika Kaliningrad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsRodina Moscow · Baltika Kaliningrad13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRodina MoscowBaltika KaliningradBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against21.2 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rodina Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rodina Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsRodina Moscow 8 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsRodina Moscow 2 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 9 shots
  • Possession69%31%Rodina Moscow 69%, Baltika Kaliningrad 31%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersRodina Moscow 2 corners, Baltika Kaliningrad 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls20 foulsRodina Moscow 16 fouls, Baltika Kaliningrad 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rodina Moscow favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rodina Moscow6 matchesBaltika Kaliningrad6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
2.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
7.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
44% ●Possession6/636.2%
2.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.17 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls6/616 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsRodina MoscowBaltika Kaliningrad
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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