PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Ñublense 1–2 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 1–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.541.5
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Ñublense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Universidad Católica): shots 15–11, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.54–1.5, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad Católica have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionÑublense · Universidad Católica● 56.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricÑublenseUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Possession47%56.1%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsÑublense 15 shots, Universidad Católica 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsÑublense 1 shot, Universidad Católica 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG1.5 xGÑublense 0.54 xG, Universidad Católica 1.5 xG
  • Possession46%54%Ñublense 46%, Universidad Católica 54%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerÑublense 5 corners, Universidad Católica 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsÑublense 8 fouls, Universidad Católica 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ñublense
1Draws
0Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Ñublense · Primera División2–2
Ñublense — Universidad Católica · Primera División4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense6 matchesUniversidad Católica7 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲ 2.71 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.43 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲ 1.47 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 5.57 shots/match
47%Possession6/7● 56.1%
2.33 corners/matchCorners6/7● 3.86 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/710 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Mar 2023, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headÑublense — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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