PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Ñublense 1–2 Curicó Unido · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Curicó Unido won 1–2.

Shots
813
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.141.63
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Curicó Unido beat Ñublense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Curicó Unido): shots 8–13, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.14–1.63, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense have a visible home split

weak

Ñublense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9.88 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsÑublense 8 shots, Curicó Unido 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsÑublense 3 shots, Curicó Unido 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.63 xGÑublense 1.14 xG, Curicó Unido 1.63 xG
  • Possession62%38%Ñublense 62%, Curicó Unido 38%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersÑublense 6 corners, Curicó Unido 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsÑublense 15 fouls, Curicó Unido 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
0Draws
0Curicó Unido
Curicó Unido — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — Curicó Unido · Primera División3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Curicó Unido in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense8 matchesCuricó Unido9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/92 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 1.56 xG/match
9.88 shots/matchShots8/9▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 4.33 shots/match
50%Possession8/9● 50.1%
2.75 corners/matchCorners8/9● 5.67 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/97.44 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Mar 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseCuricó Unido
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headÑublense — Curicó Unido
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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