PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Palestino 3–2 Deportes Magallanes · Primera División

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 3–2.

Shots
135
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.151.32
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Deportes Magallanes 3–2. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Deportes Magallanes): shots 13–5, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.15–1.32, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Magallanes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportes Magallanes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsPalestino · Deportes Magallanes11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalestinoDeportes MagallanesBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Deportes Magallanes have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.6%PossessionPalestino · Deportes Magallanes● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPalestinoDeportes MagallanesBaseline
Possession48.6%59.7%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots5 shotsPalestino 13 shots, Deportes Magallanes 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsPalestino 7 shots, Deportes Magallanes 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.32 xGPalestino 1.15 xG, Deportes Magallanes 1.32 xG
  • Possession34%66%Palestino 34%, Deportes Magallanes 66%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersPalestino 1 corner, Deportes Magallanes 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsPalestino 8 fouls, Deportes Magallanes 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Magallanes in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino9 matchesDeportes Magallanes9 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.4 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots9/911 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94 shots/match
48.6%Possession9/9● 59.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.56 corners/match
8.56 fouls/matchFouls9/99.89 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Apr 2023, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoDeportes Magallanes
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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