PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Palestino 1–5 Cobresal · Primera División

1–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cobresal won 1–5.

Shots
1018
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
0.862.66
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobresal beat Palestino 5–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Cobresal): shots 10–18, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 0.86–2.66, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cobresal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cobresal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.4 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cobresal have a visible away split

moderate

Cobresal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots18 shotsPalestino 10 shots, Cobresal 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsPalestino 5 shots, Cobresal 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG2.66 xGPalestino 0.86 xG, Cobresal 2.66 xG
  • Possession54%46%Palestino 54%, Cobresal 46%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersPalestino 5 corners, Cobresal 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsPalestino 13 fouls, Cobresal 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Palestino
0Draws
1Cobresal
Cobresal — Palestino · Primera División1–0
Palestino — Cobresal · Primera División3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cobresal in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino10 matchesCobresal10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.4 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲ 1.8 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots10/9▲ 15.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/9▲ 5.44 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession10/943.9%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/9● 4.78 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls10/98.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Apr 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoCobresal
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headPalestino — Cobresal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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