PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Universidad Católica 0–1 O'Higgins · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

O'Higgins won 0–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.340.63
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

O'Higgins beat Universidad Católica 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – O'Higgins): shots 13–13, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.34–0.63, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

O'Higgins have a visible away split

moderate

O'Higgins's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

O'Higgins show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

O'Higgins's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad Católica · O'Higgins14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaO'HigginsBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsUniversidad Católica 13 shots, O'Higgins 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsUniversidad Católica 7 shots, O'Higgins 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.63 xGUniversidad Católica 1.34 xG, O'Higgins 0.63 xG
  • Possession62%38%Universidad Católica 62%, O'Higgins 38%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersUniversidad Católica 10 corners, O'Higgins 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsUniversidad Católica 12 fouls, O'Higgins 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Universidad Católica
1Draws
1O'Higgins
Universidad Católica — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Universidad Católica · Primera División2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica11 matchesO'Higgins11 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.54 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.6 shots/match
5.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.73 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession11/1151.2%
5.18 corners/matchCorners11/115.18 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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