PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Deportes Magallanes 0–2 Deportes Copiapó · Primera División

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportes Copiapó won 0–2.

Shots
177
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.750.6
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Copiapó beat Deportes Magallanes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes Magallanes – Deportes Copiapó): shots 17–7, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.75–0.6, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Magallanes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportes Magallanes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Deportes Magallanes have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.1% ●PossessionDeportes Magallanes · Deportes Copiapó44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportes MagallanesDeportes CopiapóBaseline
Possession61.1%44.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsDeportes Magallanes 17 shots, Deportes Copiapó 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDeportes Magallanes 2 shots, Deportes Copiapó 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.6 xGDeportes Magallanes 0.75 xG, Deportes Copiapó 0.6 xG
  • Possession73%27%Deportes Magallanes 73%, Deportes Copiapó 27%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersDeportes Magallanes 4 corners, Deportes Copiapó 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsDeportes Magallanes 8 fouls, Deportes Copiapó 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Magallanes favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Copiapó in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Magallanes11 matchesDeportes Copiapó11 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.29 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.55 shots/match
61.1% ●Possession11/1144.5%
4.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.18 corners/match
9.55 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Apr 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes MagallanesDeportes Copiapó
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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