Primera División · 2023

Ñublense 2–5 Audax Italiano · Primera División

2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Audax Italiano won 2–5.

Shots
1519
Shots on target
68
Expected goals
1.792.73
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Audax Italiano beat Ñublense 5–2. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Audax Italiano): shots 15–19, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 1.79–2.73, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense have a visible home split

moderate

Ñublense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Audax Italiano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Audax Italiano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Audax Italiano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Audax Italiano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsÑublense · Audax Italiano14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricÑublenseAudax ItalianoBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots19 shotsÑublense 15 shots, Audax Italiano 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots8 shotsÑublense 6 shots, Audax Italiano 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG2.73 xGÑublense 1.79 xG, Audax Italiano 2.73 xG
  • Possession57%43%Ñublense 57%, Audax Italiano 43%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerÑublense 2 corners, Audax Italiano 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsÑublense 14 fouls, Audax Italiano 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ñublense
0Draws
1Audax Italiano
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División1–2
Audax Italiano — Ñublense · Primera División1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense11 matchesAudax Italiano11 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.31 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.36 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession11/1147.8%
2.91 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.64 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Apr 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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