PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

O'Higgins 1–2 Deportes Magallanes · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportes Magallanes won 1–2.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.710.85
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Magallanes beat O'Higgins 2–1. Recorded in this match (O'Higgins – Deportes Magallanes): shots 18–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.71–0.85, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsO'Higgins 18 shots, Deportes Magallanes 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsO'Higgins 2 shots, Deportes Magallanes 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.85 xGO'Higgins 0.71 xG, Deportes Magallanes 0.85 xG
  • Possession68%32%O'Higgins 68%, Deportes Magallanes 32%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersO'Higgins 6 corners, Deportes Magallanes 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsO'Higgins 14 fouls, Deportes Magallanes 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1O'Higgins
0Draws
0Deportes Magallanes
Deportes Magallanes — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: O'Higgins favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Magallanes in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

O'Higgins16 matchesDeportes Magallanes16 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161 goal/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.22 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.56 shots/match
52.2%Possession16/16● 58.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners16/164.75 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Jul 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsO'HigginsDeportes Magallanes
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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