PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Deportes Copiapó 1–0 Audax Italiano · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Deportes Copiapó won 1–0.

Shots
811
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.941.06
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Copiapó beat Audax Italiano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes Copiapó – Audax Italiano): shots 8–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.94–1.06, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Audax Italiano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Audax Italiano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsDeportes Copiapó 8 shots, Audax Italiano 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsDeportes Copiapó 4 shots, Audax Italiano 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.06 xGDeportes Copiapó 0.94 xG, Audax Italiano 1.06 xG
  • Possession46%54%Deportes Copiapó 46%, Audax Italiano 54%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersDeportes Copiapó 4 corners, Audax Italiano 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsDeportes Copiapó 10 fouls, Audax Italiano 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes Copiapó
0Draws
1Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano — Deportes Copiapó · Primera División3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Copiapó favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Copiapó16 matchesAudax Italiano17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.2 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots16/1713.1 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/174.12 shots/match
46.1%Possession16/17● 46.8%
5.63 corners/match ●Corners16/174.76 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jul 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes CopiapóAudax Italiano
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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