PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Curicó Unido 2–0 Universidad Católica · Primera División

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Curicó Unido won 2–0.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.522.3
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Curicó Unido beat Universidad Católica 2–0. Recorded in this match (Curicó Unido – Universidad Católica): shots 12–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.52–2.3, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsCuricó Unido 12 shots, Universidad Católica 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsCuricó Unido 6 shots, Universidad Católica 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG2.3 xGCuricó Unido 1.52 xG, Universidad Católica 2.3 xG
  • Possession48%52%Curicó Unido 48%, Universidad Católica 52%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCuricó Unido 4 corners, Universidad Católica 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsCuricó Unido 18 fouls, Universidad Católica 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Curicó Unido
0Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Curicó Unido · Primera División3–1
Curicó Unido — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–2
Universidad Católica — Curicó Unido · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Curicó Unido favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Curicó Unido17 matchesUniversidad Católica17 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.55 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.3 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.18 shots/match
48.9%Possession17/17● 54.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners17/174.88 corners/match
9.12 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Jul 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuricó UnidoUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headCuricó Unido — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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