PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Unión La Calera 2–3 Palestino · Primera División

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 2–3.

Shots
814
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.471.88
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Unión La Calera 3–2. Recorded in this match (Unión La Calera – Palestino): shots 8–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.47–1.88, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Unión La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión La Calera's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsUnión La Calera 8 shots, Palestino 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsUnión La Calera 2 shots, Palestino 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG1.88 xGUnión La Calera 0.47 xG, Palestino 1.88 xG
  • Possession55%45%Unión La Calera 55%, Palestino 45%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersUnión La Calera 4 corners, Palestino 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsUnión La Calera 9 fouls, Palestino 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Unión La Calera
3Draws
0Palestino
Palestino — Unión La Calera · Primera División1–1
Unión La Calera — Palestino · Primera División2–2
Palestino — Unión La Calera · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Unión La Calera favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Unión La Calera20 matchesPalestino20 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.5 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.48 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target20/204.55 shots/match
48.9%Possession20/20● 49.4%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners20/204.65 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls20/209.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Aug 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUnión La CaleraPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headUnión La Calera — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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