PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Universidad Católica 1–0 Deportes Magallanes · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 1–0.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.191.37
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Deportes Magallanes 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Deportes Magallanes): shots 14–17, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.19–1.37, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.54 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsUniversidad Católica 14 shots, Deportes Magallanes 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsUniversidad Católica 4 shots, Deportes Magallanes 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG1.37 xGUniversidad Católica 1.19 xG, Deportes Magallanes 1.37 xG
  • Possession49%51%Universidad Católica 49%, Deportes Magallanes 51%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersUniversidad Católica 3 corners, Deportes Magallanes 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsUniversidad Católica 13 fouls, Deportes Magallanes 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Universidad Católica
1Draws
0Deportes Magallanes
Deportes Magallanes — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Magallanes in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica24 matchesDeportes Magallanes23 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/231.04 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/231.48 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/231.16 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots24/2311.9 shots/match
5.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/233.74 shots/match
54%Possession24/23● 55.3%
4.58 corners/matchCorners24/23● 4.65 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls24/2310.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Sept 2023, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaDeportes Magallanes
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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