PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Ñublense 1–1 Palestino · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense and Palestino drew 1–1.

Shots
107
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.30.92
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense and Palestino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Palestino): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.3–0.92, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsÑublense 10 shots, Palestino 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsÑublense 3 shots, Palestino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG0.92 xGÑublense 1.3 xG, Palestino 0.92 xG
  • Possession55%45%Ñublense 55%, Palestino 45%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersÑublense 7 corners, Palestino 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsÑublense 13 fouls, Palestino 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
1Draws
0Palestino
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — Palestino · Primera División2–0
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense27 matchesPalestino27 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.41 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.42 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.07 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession27/2749.7%
3.48 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.63 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublensePalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headÑublense — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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