PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Huachipato 1–1 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Huachipato and Universidad Católica drew 1–1.

Shots
117
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.10.7
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huachipato and Universidad Católica drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Huachipato – Universidad Católica): shots 11–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.1–0.7, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsHuachipato 11 shots, Universidad Católica 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsHuachipato 3 shots, Universidad Católica 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.1 xG0.7 xGHuachipato 2.1 xG, Universidad Católica 0.7 xG
  • Possession57%43%Huachipato 57%, Universidad Católica 43%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersHuachipato 11 corners, Universidad Católica 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsHuachipato 14 fouls, Universidad Católica 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Huachipato
0Draws
1Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Huachipato · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Huachipato · Primera División1–0
Huachipato — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato28 matchesUniversidad Católica28 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.54 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.46 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.37 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.4 shots/match
4.39 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.82 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession28/2853%
6.04 corners/match ●Corners28/284.39 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headHuachipato — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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