PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Universidad Católica 3–2 O'Higgins · Primera División

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 3–2.

Shots
1320
Shots on target
98
Expected goals
1.812.31
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat O'Higgins 3–2. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – O'Higgins): shots 13–20, shots on target 9–8, expected goals 1.81–2.31, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad Católica have a visible home split

moderate

Universidad Católica's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Universidad Católica show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Universidad Católica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad Católica · O'Higgins14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaO'HigginsBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots20 shotsUniversidad Católica 13 shots, O'Higgins 20 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots8 shotsUniversidad Católica 9 shots, O'Higgins 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG2.31 xGUniversidad Católica 1.81 xG, O'Higgins 2.31 xG
  • Possession56%44%Universidad Católica 56%, O'Higgins 44%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersUniversidad Católica 7 corners, O'Higgins 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsUniversidad Católica 10 fouls, O'Higgins 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Universidad Católica
1Draws
2O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–3
Universidad Católica — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1
Universidad Católica — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Universidad Católica · Primera División2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica12 matchesO'Higgins12 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.75 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.29 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.83 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession12/1245.2%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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