PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Ñublense 2–2 O'Higgins · Primera División

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense and O'Higgins drew 2–2.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.231.1
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense and O'Higgins drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – O'Higgins): shots 13–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.23–1.1, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsÑublense · O'Higgins13.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricÑublenseO'HigginsBaseline
Fouls12.9 fouls/match13.1 fouls/match11.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsÑublense 13 shots, O'Higgins 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsÑublense 3 shots, O'Higgins 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.1 xGÑublense 1.23 xG, O'Higgins 1.1 xG
  • Possession53%47%Ñublense 53%, O'Higgins 47%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersÑublense 2 corners, O'Higgins 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsÑublense 17 fouls, O'Higgins 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
1Draws
1O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense13 matchesO'Higgins13 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.77 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.28 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target13/134.85 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession13/1345.3%
5.77 corners/match ●Corners13/135.15 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headÑublense — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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