PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Universidad Católica 4–1 Cobreloa · Primera División

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 4–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.530.27
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Cobreloa 4–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Cobreloa): shots 14–7, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.53–0.27, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cobreloa have a visible away split

moderate

Cobreloa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsUniversidad Católica 14 shots, Cobreloa 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsUniversidad Católica 9 shots, Cobreloa 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG0.27 xGUniversidad Católica 2.53 xG, Cobreloa 0.27 xG
  • Possession51%49%Universidad Católica 51%, Cobreloa 49%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersUniversidad Católica 2 corners, Cobreloa 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsUniversidad Católica 14 fouls, Cobreloa 16 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cobreloa in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica14 matchesCobreloa14 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141 goal/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/142.36 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.06 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 12.6 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.29 shots/match
52% ●Possession14/1447.1%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.71 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 May 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaCobreloa
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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