PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Ñublense 3–0 Huachipato · Primera División

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 3–0.

Shots
169
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.270.49
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Huachipato 3–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Huachipato): shots 16–9, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.27–0.49, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Huachipato have a visible away split

moderate

Huachipato's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsÑublense 16 shots, Huachipato 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsÑublense 8 shots, Huachipato 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG0.49 xGÑublense 2.27 xG, Huachipato 0.49 xG
  • Possession44%56%Ñublense 44%, Huachipato 56%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersÑublense 8 corners, Huachipato 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsÑublense 7 fouls, Huachipato 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
0Draws
2Huachipato
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División2–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División2–0
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Huachipato in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense15 matchesHuachipato15 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.73 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.47 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.35 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.1 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.07 shots/match
45.7%Possession15/15● 52.2%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners15/155 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 20 Jun 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseHuachipato
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headÑublense — Huachipato
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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