Primera División · 2024

Palestino 1–1 Ñublense · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino and Ñublense drew 1–1.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.320.81
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino and Ñublense drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Ñublense): shots 10–12, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.32–0.81, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Palestino, Ñublense.

2.67 days ▲Rest daysPalestino · Ñublense2.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPalestinoÑublenseBaseline
Rest days2.67 days2.77 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsPalestino 10 shots, Ñublense 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsPalestino 5 shots, Ñublense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.81 xGPalestino 1.32 xG, Ñublense 0.81 xG
  • Possession41%59%Palestino 41%, Ñublense 59%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersPalestino 5 corners, Ñublense 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsPalestino 17 fouls, Ñublense 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Palestino
2Draws
2Ñublense
Ñublense — Palestino · Primera División0–2
Ñublense — Palestino · Primera División1–1
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — Palestino · Primera División2–0
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino23 matchesÑublense23 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.39 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.17 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.51 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots23/2312.8 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.78 shots/match
51% ●Possession23/2346.3%
4.96 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.17 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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