Primera División · 2024

Universidad de Chile 1–0 Palestino · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Chile won 1–0.

Shots
107
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
0.50.31
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Chile beat Palestino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Chile – Palestino): shots 10–7, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 0.5–0.31, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Chile's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad de Chile's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.79 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad de Chile have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.6% ●PossessionUniversidad de Chile · Palestino50.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad de ChilePalestinoBaseline
Possession58.6%50.2%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsUniversidad de Chile 10 shots, Palestino 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsUniversidad de Chile 2 shots, Palestino 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.5 xG0.31 xGUniversidad de Chile 0.5 xG, Palestino 0.31 xG
  • Possession70%30%Universidad de Chile 70%, Palestino 30%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersUniversidad de Chile 7 corners, Palestino 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsUniversidad de Chile 13 fouls, Palestino 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Universidad de Chile
2Draws
2Palestino
Palestino — Universidad de Chile · Primera División2–2
Universidad de Chile — Palestino · Primera División0–1
Palestino — Universidad de Chile · Primera División2–0
Palestino — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–2
Universidad de Chile — Palestino · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Chile favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Chile24 matchesPalestino24 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.42 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.08 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/241.41 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.6 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.92 shots/match
58.6% ●Possession24/2450.2%
5.46 corners/match ●Corners24/244.96 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Sept 2024, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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