Primera División · 2024

O'Higgins 1–3 Ñublense · Primera División

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 1–3.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.992.16
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat O'Higgins 3–1. Recorded in this match (O'Higgins – Ñublense): shots 13–13, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.99–2.16, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsO'Higgins · Ñublense12.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricO'HigginsÑublenseBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match12.6 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsO'Higgins 13 shots, Ñublense 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsO'Higgins 4 shots, Ñublense 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG2.16 xGO'Higgins 1.99 xG, Ñublense 2.16 xG
  • Possession39%61%O'Higgins 39%, Ñublense 61%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersO'Higgins 3 corners, Ñublense 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsO'Higgins 12 fouls, Ñublense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1O'Higgins
2Draws
2Ñublense
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–2
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: O'Higgins favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

O'Higgins28 matchesÑublense28 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.51 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots28/2812.7 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target28/284.61 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession28/2846.8%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners28/284.61 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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