PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Universidad de Chile 1–0 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad de Chile won 1–0.

Shots
156
Shots on target
30
Expected goals
1.20.2
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad de Chile beat Universidad Católica 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad de Chile – Universidad Católica): shots 15–6, shots on target 3–0, expected goals 1.2–0.2, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

weak

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad Católica have a visible away split

moderate

Universidad Católica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsUniversidad de Chile 15 shots, Universidad Católica 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots0 shotsUniversidad de Chile 3 shots, Universidad Católica 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.2 xGUniversidad de Chile 1.2 xG, Universidad Católica 0.2 xG
  • Possession63%37%Universidad de Chile 63%, Universidad Católica 37%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersUniversidad de Chile 5 corners, Universidad Católica 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsUniversidad de Chile 12 fouls, Universidad Católica 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Universidad de Chile
0Draws
2Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–2
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–3
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–0
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad de Chile favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad de Chile8 matchesUniversidad Católica9 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/91.78 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/91.52 xG/match
19.1 shots/match ▲Shots8/912.4 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/94.33 shots/match
59% ●Possession8/954.3%
6.88 corners/match ●Corners8/93.89 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/912.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad de ChileUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headUniversidad de Chile — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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