PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Palestino 2–1 Deportes La Serena · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 2–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.470.82
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Deportes La Serena 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Deportes La Serena): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.47–0.82, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes La Serena's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportes La Serena's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsPalestino 13 shots, Deportes La Serena 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsPalestino 5 shots, Deportes La Serena 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.82 xGPalestino 1.47 xG, Deportes La Serena 0.82 xG
  • Possession56%44%Palestino 56%, Deportes La Serena 44%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersPalestino 7 corners, Deportes La Serena 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsPalestino 13 fouls, Deportes La Serena 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Palestino
1Draws
0Deportes La Serena
Palestino — Deportes La Serena · Primera División5–0
Deportes La Serena — Palestino · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes La Serena in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino14 matchesDeportes La Serena14 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.29 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.86 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.94 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots14/1412.6 shots/match
4.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.07 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession14/1448.1%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners14/143.79 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Jun 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoDeportes La Serena
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headPalestino — Deportes La Serena
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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