PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Palestino 1–0 Unión Española · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 1–0.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
0.840.85
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Unión Española 1–0. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Unión Española): shots 15–13, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 0.84–0.85, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Unión Española's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión Española's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsPalestino 15 shots, Unión Española 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsPalestino 6 shots, Unión Española 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG0.85 xGPalestino 0.84 xG, Unión Española 0.85 xG
  • Possession61%39%Palestino 61%, Unión Española 39%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersPalestino 7 corners, Unión Española 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsPalestino 14 fouls, Unión Española 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Palestino
0Draws
2Unión Española
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División0–3
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División2–3
Palestino — Unión Española · Primera División0–1
Palestino — Unión Española · Primera División2–1
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Unión Española in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino16 matchesUnión Española17 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/170.88 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.82 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.27 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots16/1712.8 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/174.53 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession16/1750.2%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.41 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1710.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Jul 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoUnión Española
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headPalestino — Unión Española
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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