PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Ñublense 1–0 Palestino · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 1–0.

Shots
913
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.481.52
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Palestino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Palestino): shots 9–13, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.48–1.52, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsÑublense 9 shots, Palestino 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsÑublense 6 shots, Palestino 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.52 xGÑublense 1.48 xG, Palestino 1.52 xG
  • Possession36%64%Ñublense 36%, Palestino 64%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersÑublense 2 corners, Palestino 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsÑublense 12 fouls, Palestino 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ñublense
2Draws
2Palestino
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División2–0
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División1–1
Ñublense — Palestino · Primera División0–2
Ñublense — Palestino · Primera División1–1
Palestino — Ñublense · Primera División1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense19 matchesPalestino19 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.42 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5 shots/match
50.2%Possession19/19● 56.9%
4.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublensePalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headÑublense — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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