PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Unión La Calera 1–2 Palestino · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 1–2.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
1.221.76
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Unión La Calera 2–1. Recorded in this match (Unión La Calera – Palestino): shots 15–14, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 1.22–1.76, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Unión La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión La Calera's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsUnión La Calera 15 shots, Palestino 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsUnión La Calera 1 shot, Palestino 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.76 xGUnión La Calera 1.22 xG, Palestino 1.76 xG
  • Possession50%50%Unión La Calera 50%, Palestino 50%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersUnión La Calera 4 corners, Palestino 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsUnión La Calera 11 fouls, Palestino 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Unión La Calera
2Draws
2Palestino
Palestino — Unión La Calera · Primera División1–0
Unión La Calera — Palestino · Primera División2–1
Palestino — Unión La Calera · Primera División0–0
Unión La Calera — Palestino · Primera División2–3
Palestino — Unión La Calera · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Unión La Calera favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Unión La Calera22 matchesPalestino21 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.45 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 14 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.19 shots/match
49.6%Possession21/21● 56.4%
4.52 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUnión La CaleraPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headUnión La Calera — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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