PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Ñublense 1–2 Unión Española · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Unión Española won 1–2.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.591.79
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Unión Española beat Ñublense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Unión Española): shots 12–20, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.59–1.79, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Unión Española's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión Española's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsÑublense 12 shots, Unión Española 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsÑublense 2 shots, Unión Española 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.79 xGÑublense 0.59 xG, Unión Española 1.79 xG
  • Possession62%38%Ñublense 62%, Unión Española 38%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersÑublense 9 corners, Unión Española 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsÑublense 12 fouls, Unión Española 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ñublense
1Draws
3Unión Española
Unión Española — Ñublense · Primera División3–0
Ñublense — Unión Española · Primera División0–0
Unión Española — Ñublense · Primera División5–3
Ñublense — Unión Española · Primera División0–1
Unión Española — Ñublense · Primera División0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Unión Española in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense21 matchesUnión Española22 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/220.95 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/221.82 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.42 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 4.68 shots/match
51% ●Possession21/2250.6%
4.67 corners/matchCorners21/22● 6 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls21/2210.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Sept 2025, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseUnión Española
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headÑublense — Unión Española
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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