Primera División · 2025

Universidad Católica 1–0 Ñublense · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 1–0.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
42
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Ñublense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Ñublense): shots 14–16, shots on target 4–2, possession 60%–40%, corners 2–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsUniversidad Católica · Ñublense13.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaÑublenseBaseline
Fouls13.5 fouls/match13.1 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsUniversidad Católica 14 shots, Ñublense 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsUniversidad Católica 4 shots, Ñublense 2 shots
  • Possession60%40%Universidad Católica 60%, Ñublense 40%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersUniversidad Católica 2 corners, Ñublense 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsUniversidad Católica 8 fouls, Ñublense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Universidad Católica
1Draws
1Ñublense
Ñublense — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–1
Ñublense — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Ñublense · Primera División0–1
Universidad Católica — Ñublense · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica23 matchesÑublense23 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231 goal/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.26 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/221.24 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots23/2312.3 shots/match
4.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.17 shots/match
55% ●Possession23/2350.7%
4.3 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.39 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Oct 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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