PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Universidad Católica 1–0 Universidad de Chile · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 1–0.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.131.6
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Universidad de Chile 1–0. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Universidad de Chile): shots 13–16, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.13–1.6, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad de Chile's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad de Chile's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.96 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsUniversidad Católica 13 shots, Universidad de Chile 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsUniversidad Católica 3 shots, Universidad de Chile 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.6 xGUniversidad Católica 1.13 xG, Universidad de Chile 1.6 xG
  • Possession38%62%Universidad Católica 38%, Universidad de Chile 62%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersUniversidad Católica 8 corners, Universidad de Chile 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsUniversidad Católica 11 fouls, Universidad de Chile 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Universidad Católica
0Draws
4Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–0
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–2
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–2
Universidad Católica — Universidad de Chile · Primera División1–3
Universidad de Chile — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad de Chile in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica25 matchesUniversidad de Chile24 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored25/24▲ 1.96 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/241.04 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals23/21▲ 2.09 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots25/24▲ 16.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target25/24▲ 5.5 shots/match
54.9%Possession25/24● 57.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners25/24● 5.46 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chile
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Universidad de Chile
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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