PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Palestino 2–1 Deportes Limache · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 2–1.

Shots
98
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.790.28
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Deportes Limache 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Deportes Limache): shots 9–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.79–0.28, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Palestino's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Palestino have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.9% ●PossessionPalestino · Deportes Limache43.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPalestinoDeportes LimacheBaseline
Possession57.9%43.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsPalestino 9 shots, Deportes Limache 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsPalestino 4 shots, Deportes Limache 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG0.28 xGPalestino 0.79 xG, Deportes Limache 0.28 xG
  • Possession68%32%Palestino 68%, Deportes Limache 32%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersPalestino 7 corners, Deportes Limache 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsPalestino 13 fouls, Deportes Limache 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Palestino
0Draws
1Deportes Limache
Deportes Limache — Palestino · Primera División1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Limache in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino26 matchesDeportes Limache26 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.19 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/261.28 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612.3 shots/match
4.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.88 shots/match
57.9% ●Possession26/2643.4%
5.15 corners/match ●Corners26/264.62 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoDeportes Limache
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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