PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Deportes La Serena 0–1 Universidad Católica · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 0–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.870.74
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Deportes La Serena 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes La Serena – Universidad Católica): shots 11–11, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.87–0.74, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes La Serena's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportes La Serena's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsDeportes La Serena 11 shots, Universidad Católica 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsDeportes La Serena 1 shot, Universidad Católica 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.74 xGDeportes La Serena 0.87 xG, Universidad Católica 0.74 xG
  • Possession48%52%Deportes La Serena 48%, Universidad Católica 52%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersDeportes La Serena 6 corners, Universidad Católica 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsDeportes La Serena 10 fouls, Universidad Católica 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Deportes La Serena
0Draws
1Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Deportes La Serena · Primera División1–3
Deportes La Serena — Universidad Católica · Primera División0–4
Universidad Católica — Deportes La Serena · Primera División0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes La Serena favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes La Serena27 matchesUniversidad Católica27 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals27/25▲ 1.48 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots27/2712.6 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.3 shots/match
47.4%Possession27/27● 54.8%
4.19 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.63 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes La SerenaUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headDeportes La Serena — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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